Rajan, Bangalore

Thiyagarajan M
(Rajan)

Builder, Kalmantic Labs · Tracking AI since 2007

Bangalore · San Francisco

No AGI without efficient inference.
Next chokepoint battle is open inference.

Everyone is scaling models. Game is token per dollar per watt.

Read the piece →

Hand-crafted SIFT vectors for a computer vision startup that was years too early.

The work survived through Intuit, through enterprise software, through multiple AI winters. Now the compute and tooling have caught up.

Kalmantic is what came out. An Agentic Lab working on inference economics, agent infrastructure, and the layers value migrates to when execution gets cheap.

Bamboo shoot pre-seed bets that SV ignores at Upekkha. Many companies in so far. The early end of the market is where I learned to see.

The writing here runs alongside the lab. I keep going back to first principles. Feynman is where I picked up the test. If you cannot explain it to a child, you do not understand it. Taleb, Naval, Housel are the other rooms I keep walking into. So I write essays for people running companies, and I make decks that try to explain the same ideas to an eleven-year-old. Both are the same work. The eleven-year-old is the harder reader.

Pieces
Who Will Beat Anthropic
May 2026
Anthropic vs NemoClaw
May 2026
Why the Model Labs Became IT Services
May 2026
How to Compete with Anthropic
May 2026
Three Laws of AI Microeconomics
April 2026
Third Inflection Is Happening Now
February 2026
Narrative Reckoning
February 2026
Own Your Own Agents
February 2026
AI Services: Wrong Mental Models, Right Moment
March 2026
Value Capture Has Nothing to Do with Value Creation
February 2026
Software for You, Once
January 2026
Software Engineering, Ripped and Rebuilt
January 2026
When AI Moves Faster Than Co-Founders
February 2025
Vertical AI Will Eat the World
February 2025
For Kids

Conversations with my eleven-year-old nephew. Quakeview ideas I wish I had known when I was younger.

Naval for Kids deck cover
Naval for Kids
Taleb for Kids deck cover
Taleb for Kids
Morgan Housel for Kids deck cover
Morgan Housel for Kids
AVC for Kids deck cover
AVC for Kids
Selected Writing

Pieces that still stand.

Bhajan, Gita and Veda Level Thinking November 2017
Naval is a Honeypot for First Principle Thinkers January 2018
NN Taleb Talks to Mother Nature March 2018
Most Important Book Ever Written on Marketing November 2018
Antifragile, How to Make Yourself (Not the Society) March 2020
When Your Story Breaks January 2025
What Are You Captured By? December 2025
Hard Call December 2025
FreshStart. Refounding March 2026
Kalmantic

The Kalman filter is where I learned to find signal in noise. Kalmantic carries that lineage.

An Agentic Lab working on inference economics, agent infrastructure, NemoClaw strategy, benchmarking, and the long arc of systems that think.

Code. peakinfer and peakweights, both open source.

Papers. Seclens on arxiv, and PeakWeights with Vamshi Ambati.

Books. Five so far.

More at kalmantic.com.

Side Projects

Small experiments that escaped containment.

ultasuno.com Reverse-engineer any song into a Suno prompt.
nameornot.com Yes or no on any startup name. Fast.
founderchart.com Vedic astrology applied to co-founder compatibility.
ideaeval.com Peter Thiel, Elad Gil, or me on any startup idea. Thirty seconds.
docopic.com Reads your code. Writes the docs.